Sunday 18 June 2023

Oxy Stock Forecast | Is It a Good Time to Invest in Occidental Petroleum?


Occidental Petroleum (OXY) is an oil and gas exploration and production company that has successfully emerged from the threat of bankruptcy and is now positioned for financial stability.

The company faced significant challenges in recent years, including a burdensome debt load and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. However, Occidental has made a remarkable resurgence in the past two years, benefiting from factors like the Russian-Ukraine war and the subsequent oil price spike.

Debt Reduction

One of the most significant changes at Occidental has been its focus on debt reduction. In fiscal year 2022, the company repaid $10.5 billion in debt, and it has a goal of reducing its debt-to-equity ratio to below 0.5 by the end of 2023. This debt reduction has been achieved through a combination of asset sales and strong free cash flow generation.

Profitability

At current oil prices, Occidental is generating significant profits. In the latest quarter, the company reported a cash flow of $2.9 billion and a net income of $983 million. This profitability has allowed Occidental to start redeeming preferred stock, further strengthening its financial position.

Shareholder Returns

In addition to debt reduction, Occidental is also focused on returning capital to shareholders. In the first quarter of fiscal year 2023, the company repurchased $752 million worth of common stock. Analysts have high expectations for Occidental, with an average price target of $68, indicating potential upside. The stock is considered undervalued with a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 10.

Warren Buffett's Confidence

Warren Buffett, one of the most successful investors in the world, holds over 24% of Occidental's shares and continues to increase his holdings. This demonstrates Buffett's confidence in the company's future.

DCF valuation: The DCF valuation for Occidental Petroleum is $115 billion, which suggests that the stock is currently undervalued.

Additional Information

  • Occidental is the largest oil producer in the United States.
  • The company has operations in the United States, Latin America, and the Middle East.
  • Occidental is a major supplier of natural gas to the United States.
  • The company is committed to reducing its environmental impact.

Tips for Investors

  • Occidental is a cyclical stock, so it is important to buy when oil prices are low and sell when they are high.
  • The company's dividend yield is currently around 6%, which is attractive for income investors.
  • Occidental is a good long-term investment for investors who believe in the future of oil and gas.


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