Friday, 16 June 2023

Travere Therapeutics Stock: Is It a Buy or a Hold? Latest Valuation Analysis

 

Travere Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing small molecule therapies for rare diseases. The company's lead product candidate, Sparsentan, is an oral, once-daily therapy for the treatment of IgA nephropathy (IgAN) and focal segmental glomerulosclerosis (FSGS). IgAN and FSGS are chronic kidney diseases that can lead to kidney failure.

Travere Therapeutics is a risky investment. The company has a limited track record, and its lead product candidate is still in clinical development. There is no guarantee that Sparsentan will be approved by the FDA, and even if it is approved, there is no guarantee that it will be commercially successful.

However, Company also has the potential to be a very rewarding investment. If Sparsentan is approved and commercially successful, it could generate billions of dollars in revenue for Travere Therapeutics. The company's stock price could rise significantly if Sparsentan is successful.

Investors who are interested in investing in Travere Therapeutics should be aware of the risks involved. However, the company also has the potential to generate significant returns for investors.

Here is a more detailed analysis:

  • Company Overview: Travere Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company headquartered in South San Francisco, California. The company was founded in 2008 by a group of experienced pharmaceutical executives. Travere Therapeutics has a team of over 100 employees.
  • Pipeline: Travere Therapeutics' lead product candidate is Sparsentan. Sparsentan is an oral, once-daily therapy for the treatment of IgA nephropathy and FSGS. IgAN and FSGS are chronic kidney diseases that can lead to kidney failure. Sparsentan is currently in Phase 3 clinical trials.
  • Financials: Travere Therapeutics is a privately held company. The company's financials are not publicly available.
  • Valuation: Company is not yet profitable. The company's stock price is currently trading at $17.00 per share. Analysts have a consensus price target of $28.17 per share, which represents a potential upside of 66%.

Conclusion

Travere Therapeutics is a high-risk, high-reward biotech stock. Investors who are interested in investing in Travere Therapeutics should be aware of the risks involved. However, the company also has the potential to generate significant returns for investors.

What is Intrinsic Value of  Travere Therapeutics Stock?

The discounted cash flow (DCF) intrinsic value of Travere Therapeutics is estimated to be $29.33 per share as of June 15, 2023. This is based on a DCF model that uses a 10% discount rate and assumes that Travere Therapeutics' revenue and earnings will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 20% and 25%, respectively, for the next five years.

Travere Therapeutics' DCF intrinsic value is higher than the company's current stock price of $17.00 per share. This suggests that the stock is undervalued. 

However, it is important to note that the DCF intrinsic value is just one measure of a stock's value. Other factors, such as the company's growth potential and competitive landscape, should also be considered before making an investment decision.

Here are some additional factors to consider when evaluating Travere Therapeutics as an investment:

Competition: Travere Therapeutics faces competition from other companies developing therapies for IgA nephropathy and FSGS. The most notable competitor is FibroGen, which is developing a drug called FG-5200. FG-5200 is also in Phase 3 clinical trials.

Regulatory risk: There is always the risk that a drug will not be approved by the FDA. In the case of Travere Therapeutics, the approval of Sparsentan is particularly important, as it is the company's only product candidate.

Market size: The market for therapies for IgA nephropathy and FSGS is relatively small. However, the market is growing, as the incidence of these diseases is increasing.

Overall, Travere Therapeutics is a high-risk, high-reward investment. The company has the potential to generate significant returns for investors, but there are also significant risks involved. Investors should carefully consider all of the factors involved before making an investment decision.


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